What to Expect: Kansas State vs. Utah State

17 Mar

Sadly, I am not in Tuscon today, due to the budget constraints of the Kansas State Collegian. While I would have love to just start spring break early and head down there on my own dime, my plane ticket to New York to cover the Wildcats’ participation in the Pinstripe Bowl of Dec. 30 kind of wiped out any extra money I could put toward that. So with that background info, I’ll give my somewhat educated guess of what K-State needs to do to get through its first game with the win.

Fortunately, the always-helpful sports information department of Kansas State sent some quotes from head coach Frank Martin my way, so in addition to what I see on paper, I’ll draw from his insight as well.

 

1) The Aggies are going to take care of the ball, so the Wildcats had better do likewise. According to statistics of ESPN.com, K-State averages 15 turnovers per game, while Utah State gives the ball away around 12 times each contest.

According to Martin, the Aggies are very disciplined on offense because they have a plethora of upperclassmen – six seniors and three juniors – who really have the experience and mentality to play well on a consistent basis. More than that, this is a team that is used to winning.In fact, multiple articles quote the Aggies as being confused and disappointed with the No. 12 seed.

“They’ve got a championship culture in their program,” Martin said. “They expect to win the games they play regardless of who the opponent is. It’s hard to overcome those things when you are playing against somebody that has those beliefs.”

 

2) K-State’s defense will need to be as effective as it has been all season, or more so. Throughout this year, defense has improved exponentially for the Wildcats, in my estimation. At the beginning of the season, Martin talked about how players were not rotating properly, and it was easy to see exactly what he was talking about. Watch them now, and it’s apparent that there has been serious progress. As part of the Aggies’ strategy is limiting its mistakes on offense, the Wildcats need to hassle them, frazzle them, and generally make them make mistakes.

I think it also helps K-State that its leading scorer is also its premiere defender. Not only does Jacob Pullen score upwards of 20 points nearly every game, he draws the assignment of containing the opponent’s best player. That’s got to be an inspiration to the other guys on the team: if Pullen is committed and tireless enough to go all out and take responsibility on both ends of the floor, surely that motivates his teammates to support him by doing likewise.

Martin said the struggle between these teams will come down to who wants the win more.

“That’s going be the battle of wills right there,” he said. “You know, our willingness to be disciplined and pressure without fouling, which we got better at as the year went on, to disrupt. And Utah State’s ability to deal with our pressure and still stay in their place and get the shots they want. You know, then once that ball goes on the rim, who is going to have the bigger desire to go get it; them on offense or us on defense and vice versa when the ball’s on the other side.”

 

3) While mentioning the necessity of making free throws is always good for a few rolling eyes, I just think it’s that important. Already, there have been some incredibly close games. The vast majority of these games will be decided by one or two shots, so even going 15-for-20 from the charity stripe could cost a team a win. The Wildcats have been streaky in this area throughout the season, but I’m hoping that the team has matured enough to forget all that and just put the ball in the basket.

 

4) In general, K-State has to make shots. This can’t be one of those 30-percent-from-the-floor nights. If that happens, there is a large possibly the Wildcats’ season will be over. The players will have to balance the gravity of “The season is over if we lose this game” with the more relaxed attitude of “We love basketball, and we need to win to get to continue playing.” If they just continue with the sort of ball movement that has been happening recently, good looks should come naturally, and if the players stay calm and play within their capabilities, they should be able to take advantage.

The ESPN bracket marked this game as a possible upset. I think that analysis is wrong, but you never know. In about five hours we will, though.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: